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Retail fuel margins gain back losses of last few weeks

The OPIS report today revealed that average retail fuel margins across the US jumped $0.081 per gallon this week, nearly restoring the fuel margin losses suffered since November 15. The average retail fuel margin across the US now stands at $0.210 per gallon. The year to date average is now $0.190 per gallon and the Q4 calendar average is $0.197 per gallon.

The jump this week means average retail fuel margins are now back above the 2012 level for same day last year, when average retail fuel margins stood at $0.198 per gallon. Last year, these weeks in December saw a retail fuel margin increase to $0.24 per gallon.

National news reports say oil prices are decreasing due to a glut in the US Gulf Coast. That may result in lower wholesale costs, and more opportunities for increased retail fuel margins in the coming weeks.

Retail fuel margins drop fourth consecutive week

The latest OPIS report reveals that retail fuel margins across the US dropped again this week. Average retail fuel margins were down $0.013 per gallon and now stand at $0.129 per gallon. That’s the fourth consecutive loss, and retail fuel margin averages are now at the lowest level since July 19 of this year.

The year to date average now stands at $0.189 per gallon, while the Q4 average is at $0.205 per gallon. The six week average is now at $0.195.

This is the second consecutive week that retail fuel margins this year are below the equivalent day of last year. In 2012, the average retail fuel margin was $0.167 per gallon. Last year average retail fuel margins rose $0.07 per gallon over the first three weeks of December, before dropping $0.11 per gallon the last week of the year.

J.P. Morgan rewards CST Brands for in-store margin focus

In a recent update, J.P. Morgan announced they will begin financial coverage of CST Brands and Murphy USA. In their initial report, they make specific mention of their preference to the CST Brands strategy of focusing on higher margin in-store merchandise through larger store formats. The reason they gave was “Against a backdrop of stagnant gasoline demand and volatile fuel margins, the industry appears to be focused on growing higher-margin, in-store convenience merchandise through larger store formats. We prefer CST’s growth story, with new format stores driving margin growth over time and reducing the company’s dependence on fuel margins.”

In a blog dated November 14, 2013, I wrote about the correlation between fuel volumes an in-store sales. PriceAdvantage now allows you to select an unlimited number of product categories from an imported set of data from PDI, and run a report showing the correlation between retail fuel volumes and retail fuel prices with the selected data. That means you can see how fuel promotions impact in-store product category sales, along with the number of in-store transactions. You can even see how promotions of one in-store product category impact sales of another in-store product category, along with fuel volumes and fuel prices.

Clearly this strategic thinking is inline with what J.P. Morgan rewards. CST Brands has been a loyal PriceAdvantage customer since 2012. Does your fuel software allow you to investigate these correlations and maximize both fuel and in-store margins?

Retail fuel margins dive

OPIS reported today that average US retail fuel margins dropped by $0.08 per gallon this week to levels last seen in July of this year. The average retail fuel margin in the US now stands at $0.142 per gallon which is $0.10 per gallon lower than the beginning of the month. The six week average dipped to $0.204 per gallon and the average for Q4 lost one cent to $0.214 per gallon.

The last time retail fuel margins were below $0.15 per gallon was July 19, when retail fuel margins were at $0.10 per gallon. This week last year, the average retail fuel margin across the US was $0.192 per gallon. Last year at this time we saw one more week of margin declines, followed by three weeks of steady increases in December. In 2012 retail fuel margins ended the year at $0.132 per gallon.

Hopefully we’ll see this three week trend of decreases end soon and get a rebound heading into December.

 

Hyundai announces availability of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles in 2014

Hyundai just announced that beginning in the spring of 2014, they will make available hydrogen fuel cell vehicles in the limited US markets of Los Angeles and Orange County. Hyundai will offer these vehicles through selected dealers for $499/month over a 36 month term, with $2999 down. Perhaps the most interesting aspect of the offer is that the deal comes with unlimited free hydrogen refueling. That part of the deal is designed to remove any range anxiety of the potential buyer, something that continues to inhibit many who are considering buying electric vehicles. And if there is ever a problem with the fuel cell, Hyundai will pickup the vehicle and provide a loaner, then deliver the vehicle back to the customer’s home or business at no charge after the service is complete.

The initial set of dealers are in Tustin, Anaheim, Carson, and Van Nuys. More Hyundai dealers will follow as the program gains traction and spreads across the US as more hydrogen refueling stations are made available. According to the California Station Map, in California there are currently 9 hydrogen fueling stations available to the public, 19 hydrogen fueling stations in development, and 12 stations that are private or for demonstration purposes.

The announcement from Hyundai touts the advantages of fuel cell vehicles, calling them the next generation of electric vehicles. Not only do these vehicles provide a 300 mile driving range, comparable to petroleum based vehicles, but they are rated lower than electric vehicles for their well-to-wheel emissions rating. And here’s the kicker for the c-store fuel manager: these vehicles are capable of refueling in under 10 minutes, “similar to gasoline”, according to the Hyundai announcement.

No doubt this is a program geared toward the early adopter. And it’s not likely that next year will be the year to add hydrogen fuel to your fuels portfolio. But it is an important milestone to record; from here on in we will watch the reality of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles unfold into mainstream.

Yet to be determined: what kind of margins can the retail fuel marketer expect to see in a hydrogen fuel offering?

Ford announces availability of CNG capable 2014 model F-150

Today Ford announced that the first 2014 model F-150 that can run on either CNG or LPG is now rolling off the assembly line. With the combined gasoline and CNG, the range of the F-150 will be up to 750 miles, with an estimated mileage rating of 23 mpg highway and 19 mpg city. Ford is now the first manufacturer to offer a CNG / LPG capable half-ton pickup.

Natural gas upfits can range from $6000 to $9500 depending on tank capacity. At the time of this posting, the national average for unleaded fuel is $3.29 while the average for CNG is $2.10. Nearly 20 states in the US offer tax incentives or rebates for CNG converted vehicles. These vehicles are being targeted toward the business and fleet buyer. For example, in Florida, the fleet buyer can take advantage of $25,000 in rebates starting next year.

Ford also announced that by summer of 2014, they will be offering eight commercial vehicles with a natural gas prep option, more than any other full-line manufacturer.

Besides the advantage of a lower cost per gallon, natural gas also burns more cleanly and 85% of natural gas is produced in the US.

Add this all up for the convenience store fuel retailer, and it’s yet another indicator that natural gas is gaining momentum as an alternative fuel option. Is it time to consider adding it to your fuels portfolio?