by John Keller | Feb 12, 2015 | Fuel Price Management, Fuel Pricing Strategy, Industry News
According to the Wall Street Journal today, the US Energy Information Administration announced Wednesday that US crude stockpiles are at another record high. Oil companies are cutting back on their drilling investments and drilling activity has slowed, but the effects are not likely to be felt until the second half of this year, so say many experts.
The total quantity of oil in storage by companies such as refiners and traders is at the highest level in roughly 80 years. The US EIA stated in their weekly report that US oil production rose again to 49,000 barrels a day to 9.2 million barrels per day in the latest week, the highest level in reports dating back to 1983.
Oil prices dropped below $50 again to $48.84 per gallon on NYMEX. Gasoline futures fell by .91% while Diesel futures fell by 1%.
What does this mean from a fuel price management perspective? This is the season when refineries shut down plants for maintenance in anticipation of the higher demand months of summer. Usually that means refinery supplies lower and wholesale prices rise. Perhaps this year the inventory surplus will keep that wholesale increase at lower levels than years past, and lower oil prices will help suppress fuel price increases.
by John Keller | Feb 3, 2015 | Customer News, Fuel Price Management, Fuel Pricing Software, Fuel Pricing Technology, Industry News
According to Convenience Store News, longtime PriceAdvantage customer Royal Farms has opened a new location in Delaware, near the headquarters of Wawa. This is the first Royal Farms location in Delaware County, where Wawa is based. Royal Farms operates 160 Convenience Stores across the east coast.
Royal Farms Marketing Manager said “Every market we move into, we have had competition. And it’s not just from other convenience stores. It’s from grocery stores and fast-food restaurants.” Royal Farms President John Kemp attended the grand-opening event and presented donations to seven local charities.
Royal Farms has been using PriceAdvantage as their fuel price management system integrated with their Skyline Products electronic gas price signs for over seven years. Rob Rinehart, Director of Retail Petroleum had this to say:
“It is a penny up and penny down game. PriceAdvantage presents information to me in a simple and easy way so that I can review each store quickly to determine what price I want posted at the street in the next half an hour. We achieved a return on our investment in 12 months.”
Read more about their solution here.
by John Keller | Feb 2, 2015 | Fuel Price Management, Fuel Pricing Software, Fuel Pricing Strategy, Industry News, Retail Fuel Margins
Brian Milne, the Energy Editor at Schneider Electric presented some interesting statistics today, via Convenience Store Decisions. Here are the highlights:
- Wholesale spot market is up
- US Crude production growth is predicted to continue
- The traditional trend of the spring season is set to reverse the current 17 week string of declines in US retail gasoline prices
- Futures contracts are at a two year high pointing to expected gasoline price increases
- Amount of gasoline supplied to the primary market is higher than last year and five years ago (consumer demand is up)
- The highest two weekly averages of the year for gasoline supplied to the primary market were the last two weeks of the year
- Oil prices continue to drop on NYMEX
The seasonal trend of every spring time involves the transition from winter blends to summer blends, scheduled refinery shutdown due to scheduled maintenance, and anticipated increased volume usage as the weather improves and consumers drive more.
What does this mean from a fuel price management perspective?
We should see the increase in wholesale prices that we always see this time of year, even if oil prices continue to decline. That means strong retail fuel margins will be hard to come by. As NACS reported in their consumer survey today, consumers are willing to drive five miles out of their way to save five cents per gallon, and 65% of those surveyed said they had taken advantage of a discount such as a loyalty program.
We should also see a prolonged increase in retail fuel volumes as consumers are willing to drive more at current prices.
by John Keller | Jan 9, 2015 | Fuel Price Management, Fuel Price Optimization, Fuel Pricing Strategy, Fuel Software, Retail Fuel Margins
The OPIS report today revealed the average retail fuels margin across the US was $0.288 per gallon, down $0.047 from last week.
That is the third consecutive weekly decline, but the US retail average is still nearly double the margin of the equivalent week last year when the retail fuels margin was $0.146 per gallon. The six week average remains at a robust $0.326 per gallon. This is the fifth consecutive week when the six week average increased.
Last year at this time the retail fuel margin average bumped along the bottom until breaking above $0.20 per gallon the first week of March.
Perhaps the continued margin average decrease over the past three weeks is an indication that fuel marketers are now vying for volume and willing to sacrifice some of their margins. Only fuel pricing software like PriceAdvantage can allow the savvy fuel analyst to play the volume / margin game and make the most profit during these turbulent times.
by John Keller | Jan 7, 2015 | Fuel Price Management, Fuel Pricing Strategy, Industry News, Retail Fuel Margins
Today the Wall Street Journal reported that US Inventory data predicts gas prices will continue to fall. The article refers to a report that oil and fuel supplies have risen to a record high, pushing gasoline futures to a near six year low.
US stockpiles of crude oil and refined fuels are at the highest level ever, dating back to 1990. In addition, US consumption of petroleum fell slightly. “Gasoline inventories rose by 8.1 million to 237.2 million barrels, the highest level since February 2011, according to the EIA. Analysts expected an increase of 3.2 million barrels.” Nicole Friedman wrote.
Both gasoline and diesel futures are now at the lowest levels since 2009. From a fuel price management perspective, declining retail prices will mean decreased revenue, but if history repeats, increased fuels margins. However, during this season when retail fuel volumes are lowest, we will see retail fuel marketers sacrifice margin to gain volume where they can.
by John Keller | Jan 2, 2015 | Fuel Price Management, Fuel Price Optimization, Industry News, Retail Fuel Margins
The OPIS report today reported that the average US retail fuel margin started the new year at $0.335 per gallon. That margin is down $0.041 from last week, but a whopping $0.209 higher than the equivalent week last year when the average retail fuels margin was $0.126 per gallon.
The six week average was up $0.011 per gallon from last week and reached $0.321 per gallon.
Retail fuel prices across the US have been falling 99 days in a row, according to AAA. And there is no end in sight, with the cost of crude continuing to drop, and gasoline futures dropping as well.
What does this mean from a fuel price management perspective? It means these are the days of margins, when we need to make the best of the time given to us, knowing full well that the market cannot continue like this forever. Soon we’ll enter into the days of transition from winter to summer blends and scheduled refinery maintenance. Typically that means the season of wholesale cost increases and margin decreases.
We can make the best of these days by using fuel pricing software that allows us to react quickly in this volatile environment.
by John Keller | Dec 29, 2014 | Fuel Price Management, Fuel Pricing Strategy, Industry News, Retail Fuel Margins
The OPIS report showed for the week ending December 26 retail fuel margins across the US averaged at the highest levels of the year. The US average this week was $0.376, down only $0.005 per gallon from the previous week.
The year to date retail fuel margin average stands at $0.218, while the Q4 average is $0.303 and the six week average is $0.310.
The average margin at this point is a whopping $0.236 above the equivalent week last year. We’re finishing up 2014 with an overall retail fuel margin of the year that is $0.028 per gallon higher than the overall retail fuel margin of 2013.
From a financial earnings standpoint, the fourth quarter this year finished $0.103 above Q4 of 2013. Couple those improved margins with the increased fuels demand reported lately, and we can expect to see strong quarterly results by publicly traded fuel marketers in the coming months.
by John Keller | Dec 23, 2014 | Fuel Price Management, Fuel Price Optimization, Industry News, Retail Fuel Margins
According to Brian Milne, Energy Editor of Schneider Electric, the months of November and December this year have yielded some of the highest weekly fuel demand numbers of the year.
According to Mr. Milne, two of the three highest weekly demand rates in 2014 happened in November and December. The retail fuels price drop we’re seeing began in mid-October, and since then only two weeks have had gasoline demand below the five-year average. The second week of December had some of the highest retail fuels demand of the year, quite an oddity since typically the highest demand weeks are in the summer months during high travel season.
What does this mean from a fuel price management perspective? Take these high volumes and multiply them times the high margins at the time, and we can expect exceptionally strong financial results from the publicly held retail fuel companies when they report their calendar year Q4 earnings.
by John Keller | Dec 19, 2014 | Fuel Price Management, Industry News, Retail Fuel Margins
The OPIS report today revealed that the average US retail fuel margin jumped $0.045 per gallon to hit the highest level of the year. The average retail fuel margin now stands at $0.381 per gallon. The year to date average is $0.214 per gallon, while the Q4 average is $0.297 and the six week average is $0.289 per gallon.
In 2013, on this equivalent day the retail fuel margin was $0.221 per gallon.
Most analysts believe that retail gas prices will continue to lower over the coming weeks as the drop in crude prices makes its way through the supply chain. Assuming that’s true, we can expect to see margins at similar or dare we say even better levels than we see today.
It certainly is turning out to be a happy time for both consumers and fuel marketers alike.
by John Keller | Dec 18, 2014 | Customer News, Fuel Price Management, Industry News
CST Brands continues its buying spree this month with the acquisition of Landmark Industries, growing their store count by 22. These newly acquired locations are in the San Antonio and Austin area, so they’re right in the CST Brands headquarters back yard.
CEO Kim Lubel is a self-proclaimed “deal junkie” who sees consolidation in the industry as a great opportunity. The CST acquisition of Lehigh Gas GP LLC allows CST to work around a post-spinoff agreement they had with Valero, where they would have been forced to delay acquisitions until summer of 2015. The Lehigh Gas acquisition also allows CST to build the number of stores they wanted, where previously they were limited by the prior year’s EBITDA.
In the past two years, CST opened 60 new stores. In 2015 they may build as many as 45-55 new stores.
The PriceAdvantage team is proud to be a partner in the success of CST Brands. CST has been using PriceAdvantage at all their stores since 2012, and they have a position on the PriceAdvantage Customer Advisory Board. CST is also a customer of Skyline signs, so they can take full advantage of the closed loop fuel price management process from competitor surveys, to price determination, to price execution, and finally to price confirmation.
