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- 06 Mar
US EIA Reporting
The US Energy Information Administration reported their Short-Term Energy Outlook report today, and the administration expects regular‐grade retail fuel prices to average $3.79 per gallon in 2012 and $3.72 per gallon in 2013, compared with $3.53 per gallon in 2011. During the April through September summer driving season this year, prices are forecast to average about $3.92 per gallon with a peak monthly average price of $3.96 per gallon in May.
The value of futures and options contracts imply a 2 percent probability there will be a monthly average regular-grade fuel retail price of approximately $5.00 per gallon.
From a fuel price management perspective, if history repeats itself, these fuel price averages will have a high impact on fuel volumes, causing a significant decline in fuel volumes in 2012 and 2013.
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